Thursday, October 9, 2008

Mr. McCain Failed To Connect

In the debate Tuesday night in Nashville, Tennessee, one that he desperately needed to win in order to turn back the Barack Obama tide, Senator John McCain utterly failed.

In a debate that was set in a townhall type of meeting where the presidential candidates fielded questions from an audience of undecided voters, Mr. McCain failed to deliver. The knockout blow he needed to assure Americans that he would be the right President to deal with the nation's economic problems eluded him. It was ironic because the debate's townhall format was supposed to play to Mr. McCain's strength.

But unlike Senator Obama who was able to articulate the economic issues down to the level of how such issues affect family's budgets, their access to credit, their retirement funds and everyday lives of millions of Americans, Mr. McCain pretty much stayed within his comfort zone. He stuck to his favorite talking point that freezing government spending would lead to lower deficits and therefore, lower taxes.

However, McCain's line did not and still does not resonate well with the average American. In a time when people are gravely concerned about the impact of the financial crisis on their family budgets, their access to credit, their purchasing power, and their ability to save for retirement, education, and health care, Mr. McCain failed to directly address such concerns. The impact of reduced government spending on the lives of taxpayers are not immediately felt when compared to reduced witholding (or payroll) taxes that people will immediately see on their paychecks.

There's a lot of anxiety and worry over the financial crisis. People are cutting back on spending. I take the train to work and I noticed recently that there are a lot more cars on my train station's parking lot these days, a sign that more people now commute than drive themselves to work. Last week, a report came out that car sales in the US which normally average about 1.3 million units a month registered September sales of 965,000, roughly a 26% drop. All carmakers, even the Japanese, reported double-digit drops in sales figures. ABC News recently reported that more than 500 car dealerships have closed since the start of the year. The lower sales was attributed to customers cutting back on spending and tighter access to car loans. Restaurants, department stores, airlines, jewelry stores have all reported drops in revenues.

Mr. McCain was correct when he stated that there was too much anger out there at Wall Street and at Washington because by failing to prevent the financial crisis, both institutions failed the country. However, as in the first debate, Mr. McCain failed to strongly explain to the people how his proposals to reduce taxes and government spending would benefit them. He failed to raise people's doubts on how Mr. Obama's proposals, specifically on how his (Obama's) plans to increase government spending on social programs while simultaneously reducing taxes would not further increase a trillion-dollar budget deficit.

Mr. Obama's plan to reduce taxes on 95% of the population, specifically the ones who make less than $250,000 a year, hopes to stimulate spending among the middle and lower classes. The plan is also aimed at helping small businesses expand and create jobs. It's true but only up to a certain point.

The problem with the Obama tax proposal, as Mr. McCain has correctly and repeatedly pointed out, is that to make up for the tax cuts on the middle class, Mr. obama will increase taxes on the 5% of the population, that segment of society we used to call "rich" but are now known as the "investor class".

It is correct that small businesses generate many jobs. However, it is outdated and folly to think that a nation's economy will significantly progress if one sector is awarded at the expense of another. That, for me, is divisive politics. One also needs to see the big picture here. It is the large corporations that create the better-paying jobs and consequently, higher quality and quantity-type of demand that help make a lot of small businesses thrive and grow. It is the large corporations, with their big-ticket capital expenditures in facilities, people and equipment, that contribute to a significant portion of a nation's wealth. In addition, that 5% of the population Mr. Obama plans to raise taxes on are already shouldering, according to some estimates, roughly 80% of the nation's tax burden. The plan to further increase their share of the country's tax burden could prove to be a disincentive to infusing more capital into the economy at a time when such investments are badly needed.

I do agree with Mr. Obama that in order for a capitalist economy like the United States to continue to thrive and maintain its standing as the world's most trusted financial system, that a certain degree of industry regulation should be put in place. I strongly agree that the trend towards deregulation that began roughly in the early 1980s under the Reagan administration has led to spectacular abuses of power among corporate executives and to a decline in certain industries such as the US airline industry. The current financial crisis ought to change a lot of people's views about deregulation. Every game needs a referee.

But going back to the debate, I was quite disappointed in Mr. McCain's performance because his proposal to cut taxes for all Americans to create more jobs and generate investment and his plan to curb government spending to address the growing budget deficit stand on solid ground. In addition, Mr. McCain has long been an advocate of regulation, much to the chagrin of his colleagues in the Republican Party who believe otherwise. He has also gone against his party numerous times on critical issues such as the waste of government money on pork-barrel spending. The campaign finance reform law that carry his name and that of Democratic Senator Russ Feingold aims to reduce the corrupting influence of lobbyists in Washington DC. He successfully fought for the passage of this law in spite of opposition from the Republicans, including President George W. Bush.

In contrast, Mr. Obama's track record in the US Senate in his four years there does not show a man who has gone against his party to address issues of corruption and excess. He has not authored or even co-authored a single law of national significance. In addition, in his four years as Senator, he spent the last two years running for President. As a result, among all the men who have run for US President, he has the thinnest resume. But thanks to Mr. McCain's failure on Tuesday night to strongly argue the merits of his (McCain's) economic proposals, it seems a certainty now that Mr. Obama will become the 44th President of the United States.

That's not to say that Mr. Obama does not have the intelligence to hold the most powerful office in the country and in the world. His Harvard law degree and his cool and poised demeanor during the debates showed unassailable evidence of it. Like all the Presidents that have come before him, he will certainly tap the best minds within the Democratic Party to advice him on domestic and foreign policy. He will certainly make history once he gets elected as the first African-American President. However, due to the absence of a defining professional track record that reveals his thought and decisionmaking processes, he is leaving millions of voters no choice but to simply rely on his promise of change not only in the US but also in the world. That would truly be the Audacity of Hope.

22 responses:

bw said...

It's the proverbial choice between the devil and the deep sea once again, with the critical economic problems facing the U.S.A.

We can never be sure if Obama is better than McCain or vice versa because the solutions do not depend entirely on the president but on how well the collective government runs. I would like to see a president who has great negotiating and influencing skills like Reagan more than just a smart technocrat who lacks credibility with the rest of the political machinery.

As Henry Ford said " you cannot establish a reputation on what you plan to do". The American people has a lot of thinking to do on Nov 4.

Rudy said...

In the end, it's all wait and see whether the majority of the voting public, which is white, will see past Obama's color and vote for him. It doesn't matter if he's ahead of McCain in a lot of things, because it still boils down to the race issue.

D@phn3 L@ur@ said...

Actually for me, I think that McCain did good at the second debate, he was more engaging and addressed the person who asked the question by their first name.
It is just unfortunate that his reforms are closely identified with the current administration. A government that has botched up pretty much everything since it took office.

Obama on the other hand was evasive on some of his answers and his theories might seem merely good on paper.

Ultimately it is the American people who will decide whom they believe will effectively lead them out of the debacle.

I am neither a supporter of McCain nor Obama, I'm merely a silent observer in this significant election whose outcome will adversely affect the economies of other countries.

atticus said...

i thought mccain will outshine obama in a townhall type of meeting, since it is said that the "white-haired dude" (thanks, paris hilton) dominates this type of format.

clearly obama won. and i think he will win.

the biggest boost obama got in this campaign came from mccain, when the war veteran chose palin as his runningmate.

TruBlue said...

McCain cannot afford, especially during debates, to say things like:
"I know how to fix the economy", then doesn't follow thru and explain HOW? This is one of this downfalls. Ross Perot became famous for uttering such phrases - he was once asked in 1992 HOW he would fix the economy, his reply - "well, you have to vote for me first!"

McCain during the debate also said this: "I know how to win a war, I know how to win this war in Irag." How ingrateful can this feeble head be, not to share his "secrets" to the generals and admirals so we can avoid more deaths and bring the troops home??
It's this kind rhetoric from him that some republicans roll their eyes for his unrestrained crappy quips. The only good thing going for him, I think personally, he never cared what he ranted yesterday, and maybe, just maybe, he thinks he is winning.

Cheers to you and goodhealth.

JoShMaRie said...

dropped by...:)

Mari said...

polls say that obama is leading but only active voters participate in the polls. what about the silent ones and the voters who remain undecided?
skirting the issues only magnifies the americans' outrage towards the politicking of the presidentiables. the financial landscape in in deep sh!t. who can save the economy? let's see what happens on election day.

Photo Cache said...

I just checked with our county's voter registration to see the status of my absentee ballot. According to them, they sent it out yesterday,which means I'll have it today. Hubby calls he also has his absentee ballot.

I can't wait to vote again.

This is the only thing I can say: the republicans have done a good job, we gave them 8 years to run the country, and they did a good job of messing up the country. I don't want more of the same. How can people not see that?????

BTW, two dealerships closed shop here two weeks ago because of the credit crunch. Apparently those who used to be able to borrow money for car purchases can are no longer eligible now. REally sad.

Panaderos said...

BW,

So true. The American voters have their work cut out for them. Obama's way ahead in the polls right now. Obama's economic policies are not that great when compared to McCain's. However, if he does get elected, I just hope that he'll be wise enough to tap people who would give him the proper advice to deal with the nation's financial crisis.

Panaderos said...

Rudy,

Your concern is very valid. Based on the surveys that show Obama ahead of McCain, it is very possible that some people may only be saying that they'll vote for Obama so as not to appear racist. Once they're in the voting booth, many people might revert back to their comfort zones and still pull the lever for McCain. That remains to be seen though.

Panaderos said...

Daphne,

McCain has done a lot for his country. Spent most of his working life in the service of the country through his work in the Navy and the US Congress. His heart is in tne right place in a lot of issues. It's just sad that at this point, he may lose out to a younger and inexperienced opponent simply because he couldn't strongly articulate the validity and soundness of his economic proposals. It would have been a great and fitting story for the man if he could end his years of public service as President but I strongly doubt that that would happen.

Panaderos said...

Atticus,

I thought so too. I expected him to come out strongly. I think if the topic for the evening was foreign policy (which is McCain's area of expertise) instead of the economy, he would have had a good chance of taking Obama down.

Panaderos said...

Trublue,

That was the sad part about this debate. He couldn't provide his audience with the details needed to convince them that he knew how to fix the country's economic problems. And whenever he did, he often focused on reducing government spending. Pure Washington-speak that voters often fail to comprehend or appreciate.

As for the Iraq War, he had long advocated for a troop surge. But the neocons in Bush's administration (Cheney and Rumsfeld) ignored his pleas until the war became so unpopular and US casualties had gone so high that Bush had no choice but replace Rumsfeld and throw Cheney back to the sidelines.

Panaderos said...

Joshmarie,

Hi. I hope you're having a great weekend. :)

Panaderos said...

Mari,

You raised a very valid point there. In fact, some political analysts have expressed concerns on how a lot of the polls are being conducted. They fear that a number of the polls may be failing to cover a good number of the population out there. They're afraid that the polls may indeed be showing Obama as leading the surveys when the opposite might be true because of the voters who have remained "silent" thus far.

Panaderos said...

Photo Cache,

I almost applied for an absentee ballot myself a few weeks ago. I thought at the time that I might be out of town come Election Day. Good thing that my trip schedule was changed and thus I would be able to vote.

The Republicans in Congress got corrupt in the 12 years they controlled both the House and the Senate. A series of corruption and sex scandals led the public to kick them out 2 years ago. It's just too bad because between the two political parties, ideas that eventually lead to political and fiscal policies that fix the government often come from the Republican Party. The Democrats tend to defend the status quo until polls tell them to shift their position on certain national issues, the latest being their decision to lift the ban on offshore drilling.

ysrael said...

I don't have idea how old is McCain, I don't know if age is an issue in US erection ( i mean election)

Panaderos said...

Ysrael,

McCain's 72 and thus holds the distinction as the oldest person to ever run for the office. He claims that he should be strong enough to complete at least one four-year term if elected citing longevity in his family. His mother is 97 years old and still comes to some of his campaigns.

Señor Enrique said...

Hello Panaderos,

I'd like to share an excerpt from an emai I received from a friend in NYC:

quote

Many of the Filipinos, Koreans, Indians and Pakistanis who came in the year 1965 and later years came to the USA as “ Exchange Visitor” physicians, nurses, nutritionists, pharmacists, and medical technologists. Did you ever wonder why the health professionals? The election of Lyndon B. Johnson, a DEMOCRAT gave hope to the passage of the national health care bill. During Eisenhower’s presidency (Republican Administration), any attempts to pass social health programs were difficult.

On July 30, 1965 President Lyndon B. Johnson signed the health care bill labeled H.R. I and S. It is known by many names – Title 18 known as Medicare (Part A provide hospital insurance to the aged, and Part B which provides supplemental medical insurance) and Title 19 known as Medicaid (healthcare for individuals who were at or close to public assistance level) - the 2 amendments to the Social Security Act.

The passage of the new healthcare program marked an important turning point in the American history, part of Johnson’s vision of a “Great Society” which we immigrants from that generation are all now a part of. The Social Security Amendments of 1965 was America’s first public health insurance program. Before the passage of this bill, Americans paid for their health care directly out of their pockets.

The Exchange Visitor Program carried out under the provisions of the Mutual Education and Cultural Exchange Act of 1961 enabled the educational and cultural exchanges between the United States and people of other countries. The Philippines participated in the early 60’s and sent artists and educators to experience and understand a wide variety of programs. The educators came back to the Philippines, and saw the need for health care professionals and boosted their educational curriculum to include strong emphasis in medicine, nursing, pharmacology, nutrition, radiology and the new field of medical technology.

The passage of the Social Security Act of 1965 called for the need of health care professionals to care for the American population who now has health insurance. The Hospitals with the help of the US government allowed the health professionals from foreign countries under the aegis of the Exchange Visitor Program, to come the United States to help fill the void of health professionals.

In addition, on July 1, 1968, the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965 became law (it took 3 years to pass!!!) which abolished the national-origin quotas that had been in place since 1924. Visas were available on a first-come, first-served basis, and the family reunification visas unlimited. This law passed during the Democratic Administration. Nixon, a REPUBLICAN was elected in Nov.1968 – whew that was close!!!

This law enabled the many Filipino professionals and other foreign nationals (engineers, scientists, lawyers, educators, accountants, etc.) to have the job opportunities that eluded them in their own countries. From 1965 to the late 1980’s a wave of immigration from Southeast Asia opened the doors to the land of milk and honey. What a great country!!!

Many of you might have forgotten how and why we came here. Our children are first generation Americans; we were able to reunite with our parents and siblings. Some of us were fortunate enough to be able to help others in the Philippines, India, Pakistan, Korea, and other countries thru charity work, foundation and scholarship programs, business ventures, and helped prop the sagging economy in these countries. This country gave us a lot of opportunities and hope – all this because of a DEMOCRAT PRESIDENT !!!

unquote

You may wish not to post this comment of mine and I would understand, but I think it's important to know that many immigrants of various ethnic colors thrived under the leadership of Democrat presidents. I, among them.

Cheers!

Eric

rdl said...

I am hopeing so hard that Obama will win, that well...he just has to - i cannot bear the thought of mccain/palin world.

Panaderos said...

Eric,

Your point's very well taken and I have no dispute with the facts you presented. A number of my relatives who came to this country in the 1970s and 1980s were clearly beneficiaries of the immigration law you cited.

However, I would also add the fact that for the wave of IT, nursing, engineering, and Accounting professionals that have come to this country beginning in the early 1990s, they were able to come and begin new lives in America due to the Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1990 that Republican President George H.W. Bush signed into law. This was the day when a new visa, the H-1B "working visa", was born.

Times change. And though I agree that the immigration law of 1965 profoundly changed the lives of millions of our countrymen, the party that sponsored the law, the Democratic Party, has also changed in quite a number of ways from the way it was back in 1965 (or 1968).

There are recent moves in Congress to increase the H1B quota, sponsored by Republicans, to help businesses obtain more skilled workers from overseas. This proposal was supported by prominent American businessmen such as Bill Gates, a Democrat. However, the Democratic Party, along with its allies in the labor unions, have been fighting the proposal. As far as I know, both parties remain deadlocked over this issue.

The Democratic Party has also been against the practice of some US businesses to outsource some of their key operations to low-cost Third World economies such as the Philippines and India. Outsourcing is a reality in the business world right now and it has helped create thousands, if not millions, of well-paying jobs for Filipinos. We need to imagine then what the adverse effects would be on the Philippine economy should the Democrats have their way regarding this matter.

I'm very happy for many of my countrymen who have successfully built new lives for themselves in their adoptive land. However, I have to respectfully disagree with the underlying message the email your friend sent you is seeking to impart. As voters, we all have a responsibility and moral duty to study and analyze the policy proposals that come before us. We ought to agree or disagree with such proposals based on their merits. But to imply that as a member of an ethnic group that I should always side with one party on any policy issue regardless of the proposal's merits or demerits, I don't think that I would be doing my job as a citizen.

We hear the word DIVERSITY a lot here in the US. It is often taken in the context of race. I fully support it but within each ethnic group, there should also be room for diversity of thought.

Thanks for a great comment, my friend. Cheers!

Panaderos said...

RDL,

Your wish is coming closer to fruition. We're only three weeks from THE DAY. :D Take care.