Sunday, September 21, 2008

Fall of the High and Mighty

The New York Times (NYT), in its Sunday issue (September 21), came up with a piece that showed the effects the recent bloodbath in Wall Street has had on the shareholdings of a number of Wall Street CEOs, both former and current. To illustrate such effect, the NYT article showed the values of the CEOs' shareholdings at the beginning of January 2007 and compared it to the value of their shareholdings after the financial markets closed last Friday, September 19.

In the interest of full disclosure, the figures represent the stocks owned by the individuals listed and does not include the value of their stock options. Anyway, here are some of the names that were listed: (Each line shows the CEO Name, the Firm he either heads or used to head, the Value of his Shareholdings as of 1/1/2007, and the Value of his Shareholdings after the markets closed on 9/19/08.)

Maurice R. Greenberg, Former CEO (AIG), $1.25 billion, $49.6 million
James E. Cayne, Former CEO (Bear Stearns), $1.06 billion, $61.2 million
Sanford I. Weill, Former CEO (Citigroup), $914.9 million, $342 million
Richard S. Fuld Jr., CEO (Lehman Brothers), $827.1 million, $2.3 million
E. Stanley O' Neal, Former CEO (Merrill Lynch), $127.7 million, $40.2 million
John Mack, CEO (Morgan Stanley), $224.6 million, $80.4 million
Martin J. Sullivan, Former CEO (AIG), $3.2 million, $173,000
Daniel H. Mudd, Former CEO (Fannie Mae), $26.5 million, $476,000
Richard F. Syron, Former CEO (Freddie Mac), $10.6 million, $130,000


The above individuals I chose to list here are the ones whose shareholdings took the biggest hits as the crisis in Wall Street worsened. For a complete list of the CEOs, you can find the New York Times chart here.

According to some government estimates, US taxpayers will be on the hook for $1.5 trillion to bail these financial institutions out. The bill that US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke submitted to the Congress seeks $700 billion to be made available to help financial institutions rid themselves of failed or illiquid securities. Those illiquid securities were based on subprime mortgages whose debtors failed to pay.

Thus, millions of American taxpayers will now end up footing the bill for these guys' avarice and greed. I don't mean to sound insensitive or mean but I do not feel sorry for any of the guys above. A majority of them still have millions of dollars of wealth available. Except for a black mark on their reputations and maybe some social ostracism that they will suffer, these guys won't have any problems finding money for their next meal.

I don't even feel sorry for their direct reports and the senior managers of their firms. Those groups of officers earned millions of dollars in bonuses ANNUALLY. Living in the New York metro area, I always read about how the bonuses these guys make every year average about two to three times their annual salary.

But what's more worrisome for me are the ripple effects from the crisis in Wall Street.

First, a lot of establishments and businesses, small and medium-sized, depend on Wall Street firms and employees for a good portion of their business. Revenues of tailors, barbershops, hair salons, spas, restaurants, laundromats, and theaters, to name a few, will certainly suffer as a result of the job losses. In fact, some of these smaller businesses may even end up letting go of some of their employees too.

Second, the crisis will definitely lead to tighter credit. A humbled and tightly regulated Wall Street means a more conservative Wall Street. Tighter credit will definitely lead to higher quality loans extended to higher quality debtors. However, tighter credit could lead to reduced economic activity. People and businesses could buy and invest less. And once the American consumer tightens his/her belt, the whole world will certainly feel it. As of this writing, a number of US banks have started reducing the credit limits of thousands of those credit cardholders with less than stellar credit histories.

Some economic experts say that the worst isn't over yet. To a person, all of the economists are worried about the ripple effects through the rest of the economy. So far, we've only read about the big players in the banking industry. Apart from those, there are also big regional banks that have not yet revealed the extent of their losses on subprime mortgages.

To be honest though, people also share part of the blame here. And by "people", I'm referring to those who bought homes at prices that were clearly way beyond their means. Banks can be blamed for tempting these people with "exotic" types of mortgages such as "interest only" mortgages and "adjustable rate" mortgages. However, at the end of the day, the transaction would not have pushed through if upon due assessment of his/her financial position, the buyer had wisely decided not to proceed with the purchase.

Both banks and the buyers can delude themselves all they want through such creative schemes but the bottomline remains the same: there is still a debt that needs to be paid and that a buyer still doesn't acquire full title to a property until such time he/she has paid both principal and interest on a debt. Financing has always operated on this principle for centuries and will always do.

As I end this post, word just came out that the last two large investment banks. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, in an effort to gain Federal protection from the crisis, have obtained the approval of the Federal Reserve to change their status from investment banks to bank holding companies. As such, both institutions can now operate commercial banks and take deposits. The change in status subjects both institutions to tighter government regulation. However, tighter regulation is a rather small price to pay when in exchange, they can avail themselves of the government's bailout program.

34 responses:

Anonymous said...

@goldman sachs and morgan stanley - that's a demotion!

Panaderos said...

Mari,

It indeed a big demotion for those two companies. By becoming commercial banks, they are now subject to tighter Federal Reserve regulations.

Keith said...

Sigh. I remember the sadness I felt when Donald Trump declared bankruptcy. I was svcraping up coins out of the corners of the cupboard to buy a soda at the store when I heard that the courts demanded he limit his spending to 400,000 USD every month.

I realized that day that many people are far worse off than me...

Anonymous said...

Ouch...that hurts.... But again, these people had also made more money than they ever needed with their hefty salaries and bonuses !

"And by "people", I'm referring to those who bought homes at prices that were clearly way beyond their means."

Hopefully these people didn't fake their incomes coz if they didn't looks to me like the banks also did a shoddy job on verifying their credit standing!

ysrael said...

Ganyan na ba ka-grabe ang inflation sa US of A. Hope they can recover. Duda ako na hindi totoo or meron na naman hidden agenda. USA economic downfall is really hard to believe.

Anonymous said...

whoah.... that's big-BIG money.... i remember how BW is doing? he told me about this thing going on with the financial institution he's working in too...

anyway, visit my site Panaderos! take a look at my hub in the little province! you bet it's far far from your big city! haha :-)

atto aryo said...

it was a fall, yes, but not the kind of falling that happens to us mere mortals. when they stumble, they bring us all down with them, so we are forced to help them get back to their feet. this is just how fucked up life is.

atticus said...

it's always the small people who get hurt when the elephants dance.

will those numbers (value of stocks) go up again once the markets improve, or are they forever lost?

when this year began, i placed a portion of my savings in philam-aig, the first time i ventured into something like this.
argh.

zherwin said...

if i would be those guys, i think tulala pa rin siguro ako ngayon hehe.

i read greed somewhere on your post and this is what they get from being such, karma kumbaga! that's what they get from having a very loose credit policy, approve lang kasi ng approve! the problem is, damay tayo!

BlogusVox said...

Using taxpayer's money to float these bankers is not fair when these same sharks squeezed every penny they could get from ordinary citizen. IMO, that's what you get when you have a republican president. They take care of their own.

Unknown said...

everybody's anxious about this meltdown in wall street. this certainly results to a crisis in confidence in all financial institutions. malamang, sa baol na lang tayo mag-iipon ng pera para sigurado.:D

Unknown said...

Awww... poor guys, how can they live on a measly million dollars? Tsk tsk! Oh btw, you know I was being sarcastic, no? :-D

Oh well, I guess it's time to buy a piggy bank, you may not earn interest but at least you know the money's in there... :-D

Panaderos said...

Keith,

Yeah, I'm so worried for them and their families too. What country clubs and parties can they go to now? The art collections that they may now have to sell just to "survive" in this world of ours. It must really hurt some of them to fall off the Forbes List of Richest Americans. I feel so bad for them. :D

Panaderos said...

BW,

These people did make tons of money during the high-flying years of their firms. I'm glad that their greed made them hold on to those stocks. Had they sold them during the boom years, they would probably be richer than God at this point.

A lot of banks, especially mortgage banks, did loosen their requirements and lowered their standards during the real estate boom years. It was truly "greed gone rampant" as a colleague of mine used to say.

Panaderos said...

Ysrael,

I don't think there's really any hidden agenda here for otherwise, both Democrats and Republicans would have exposed it already.

Aside from actual economic activity, financial markets run and perform well based on confidence and perception that the capitalist system works. Once investors lose confidence in the financial markets and the system, panic will certainly result among investors and the general public alike. This would have triggered mass sell-offs in the stock markets and bank runs. Those would have certainly led to an economic collapse with global repercussions. The Federal government has to step in to prevent the whole system from collapsing the way it did back in the 1930s.

Panaderos said...

Neuroticsister,

The US has been the world's biggest economy since the 1890s and was the world's most dominant economic player for much of the 20th century. Almost every country in the world today does business with the United States and as a result and by some estimates, we are looking at a country with a $50 trillion dollar economy. There are many large US corporations out there whose total assets are bigger than the gross national products of a number of countries in the world. That's how immense its economy is.

I will certainly stop by your site in a bit. :)

Panaderos said...

R-Yo,

Unfortunately, such situation will remain the reality for as long as countries like ours refuse to implement the reforms necessary that will help us prosper and gain economic power.

The rules of the game hasn't changed for as long as Man has been around. Whoever has the money, has the power. Sad but that's how the way the world works.

Panaderos said...

Atticus,

That's what angers me about the situation in the Corporate world in general. The people who made the decisions that caused the crisis or screwed the company's fortunes still get to hold on to their jobs and their millions while its the little people, the ordinary employees, who suffer.

The numbers may go up again once the economy improves. However, I don't think that they will ever go back to the levels they enjoyed back in January 2007.

As for Philamlife, AIG's local subsidiary, the company's officials are claiming that they're "independent" and that what's happening to AIG here in the US is of no or little impact to them. Those guys must be dreaming. I suggest you keep a close eye on your investments with them. At the first sign of trouble, pull your money out.

Panaderos said...

Zherwin,

It just goes to show that supposedly intelligent people with MBAs and PhDs are very capable of committing monumentally stupid mistakes because of unbridled greed.

Panaderos said...

Blogusvox,

I agree with you that it is indeed unfair but I guess the government had no choice but to do so given the situation. It would have been a lot worse for the taxpayers if the government just sat by and let these institutions fail because such failures would have triggered a collapse of the entire financial system. That would have led to a lot of companies closing and job losses. This bailout plan was certainly the choice between the lesser of the two evils.

In fairness to the Bush Administration, he did attempt to reform the system back in 2002 and once again in 2005. He did try to introduce laws that would have imposed tighter regulations on these financial institutions. However, there was a real estate boom going on at the time and it seemed that everyone was making a lot of money. The problem in a situation where everybody seems to be having a grand time is that hardly anyone notices the fatal flaws in the system. Thus, in both instances, the Democrats in Congress blocked his efforts. But now, the Democrats are making it appear that it was all Bush's fault.

Panaderos said...

Luna Miranda,

Regarding your "baol" remark, the more things change, the more they stay the same. When it comes to money management, people should never forget the basics. People should still learn the values of hard work, thrift and living within one's means.

The lessons to take away from all these is that when it comes to investing one's hard-earned money, one ought to do one's own research and not simply rely on the sales pitches of "experts" or friends. One ought to invest in a company or activity that one has gained a lot of familiarity with. Never invest in something one hardly knows anything about.

Panaderos said...

Rudy,

Hahaha Yes, you were being sarcastic. I have no sympathy for those irresponsible guys. I feel for the employees in the lower rungs of their companies for those employees are the ones who stand to lose the most in this crisis.

I agree with you in that when it comes to investing one's money, simpler is definitely better. As I had mentioned previously to another commenter, we should only invest in businesses or economic activities that we are very familiar with. People should refrain from investing in anything without doing their own unbiased research.

Nyl said...

I know about Wall Street back when I was a high schooler already starting to enjoy reading. Even if the Wall Street has not reached my country to cater the Filipino people, I've known it to be such a famous and reputable one.

Sometimes its still hard to believe that a first world country will suffer economic crisis. Not this early huh. Sigh!

yusop said...

It's the worst kind of dilemna for the American people, they got be pay for the people who at times rob them off thgeir hard-earned money, with high interest rates and accumulated interest schemes.

I somehow fear that the presnt crisis could be as steep as the mid 80's depression or even the Great depression early in the last century. I hope not.

Now, aside from the mortgage problems on housing sector, I think too much insider trading and speculations, like sprucing up an artificialized world oil price might have contributed greatly to all the present mess.

Panaderos said...

Nyl,

Yes, it may sometimes be hard to believe that this is happening in the world's largest economy but it is. I guess anywhere you go in this world, once a system of checks and balances are removed, some things are bound to go terribly wrong. That's what happened at Wall Street.

Panaderos said...

Major Tom,

Indeed, it's the worst kind of dilemma and that's the reason as to why the US Congress is still questioning Secretary Paulson and Fed Chairman Bernanke. They want to make sure that "bailout" doesn't mean letting the people responsible for this mess off the hook. The FBI has already gotten into the act by launching investigations for possible securities fraud. Things are getting pretty interesting. Stay tuned. :)

escape said...

"Some economic experts say that the worst isn't over yet."

>>>> not so good news for us.

Panaderos said...

Dong,

Unfortunately, it's not. This may take a while to fix.

Anonymous said...

Hi Panaderos,

Read it once, twice, thrice. It's hard to believe.

Is it a ploy to make us believe? As there are off-shore banks to hide their undeclared incomes.

My father is in Philam, idol talaga nya mga ito.

These people are hard, calculating and don't like to lose.

Anyways, Good day to you.

rolly said...

siguro panahon na rin na iba naman makinabang ng perang tinamasa nila.

Panaderos said...

Soulsheik,

I don't know if those individuals have offshore banks to stash some of their income away from the tax authorities here. If they're doing that, the IRS will definitely find out soon. The IRS has developed some very sophisticated methods of tracking money movements and it's only a matter of time before they catch a tax evader.

Panaderos said...

Rolly,

Oo nga e. Justice. They had way too much money. More than they and their families will ever need over several lifetimes. It's just right that some of those resources end up in the hands of people who may need them more.

Señor Enrique said...

I worked at an investment bank in NY for a couple of years. Got out as soon as the opportunity presented itself. And I thought the music industry was sleazy.

Panaderos said...

Eric,

Yeah, these financial "whizzes" thought that they could get away with anything. The pursuit of more billions to add to their already astronomical wealth eventually led to this disaster. I still have a big problem with Secretary Paulson's proposal to bail these guys out using taxpayers' money. In a way, I'm glad that some House Republicans are putting up a fight to make these banks pay for the problems they caused.